What is fundamental analysis of currency?

What is fundamental analysis of currency?

A fundamental analysis of currency identifies and measures factors that determine the intrinsic value of a financial instrument, such as the general economic and political environment. This includes factors that influence the supply and demand for the underlying product or service. In a declining supply and steady demand, there is a rise in market prices. A higher bid will affect the other way around.

A currency analyst examines, for example, the supply and demand for a particular country's currency, products or services (Merchandise Trade). He also looks at the quality of leadership and government policy, past and projected performance, future plans and especially the short-term economic indicators of a country.

From these data, the analyst a model to compare the current value of a currency with the predicted value. The basic idea is that a unilateral increase in supply lowers the value of the currency, while a unilateral increase in demand increases its value. Once the analyst has estimated the net asset value, he compares it with the current exchange rate and decides whether it should go up or the currency.

One difficulty with fundamental analysis is to accurately measure the relationship of different variables. For this reason, must make the analyst estimates, based on his experience. Moreover, the currency markets tend to anticipate events that they eskomptieren advance in the value of the currency. And finally, there may be a disadvantage depending on the timing or even an advantage that markets often need time to note that exchange rates do not correspond to their value.


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