Oscillators Leading Indicators

Oscillators Leading Indicators
technical analysis

An oscillator is any object or information that you enter moves two points. In other words is something that is always going to fall somewhere between A and B. Think of our technical oscillators as if they were on or off. More specifically, an oscillator will always give a signal to buy or sell, with few exceptions.
Oscillators Leading Indicators
Stochastic, Parabolic SAR and the RSI are oscillators. Each of these oscillators is designed to detect a reversal in the trend.
Here are some examples:

In the 1 hour chart of USD / EUR, we use the Parabolic SAR and the RSI and stochastic. As you have learned so far, when the stochastic and RSI begin to leave the oversold region, is a signal to buy. We found signs of sale between 3:00 am EST and 7:00 a.m. ET of 8/24/05. Each of these signals is given by 1 or 2 hours apart from each other.

oscillators

We also got sell signals of these three indicators between 2:00 am and 5:00 am THIS EST on 8/25/05. As you can see the stochastic been a long time, about 20 hours in the overbought region.

Usually when an oscillator is maintained at levels of overbought or oversold for an extended period of time, means there is a strong trend.

In this example, as the stochastic stayed in overbought, you can see that there was a strong upward trend.

Now look at the same oscillators messy, just to show you that these signals are not perfect. Looking at the chart below, you will quickly realize that there are many false signals and you will see an indicator tells you to sell while another says you buy.

oscillator

About 1:00 am EST on 8/16/05, both the RSI and Stochastic gave buy signals, while still showing a Parabolic SAR sell signal.

The Parabolic SAR buy signal given 3 hours later at 4:00 am, but then became a sell signal after a bar. If you were watching the bar with the parabolic SAR below, notice how strong is a red bar with short shadows, also notice how the next bar closed below it. This has not been a good long-term operation.

In the last two signs of over-selling (buying) given by the Stochastic, it looks like there are no signs at all for the RSI, but Parabolic SAR is giving sell signals.

What's going on here? Both indicators are giving different signals.
What was it that happened to a group as good indicators?

The answer lies in the way that is computed each of them.

Stochastic is based on a time range (in this case was 1 hour), but is unchanged between one hour and another.

RSI uses the change from a closing price and the next. And the Parabolic SAR has its own unique calculations that can cause conflicts.

That is the nature of the oscillators, they assume that a particular pattern in the graph is always in the same investment, which is clearly not true.

Being aware of why a leading indicator may be wrong, there is no way to avoid them. If you are having mixed signals, better not do anything before playing with luck. If a graph does not match all your criteria, do not open an operation to force.


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