The Fibonacci Retracement

There are four popular Fibonacci studies: arcs, fans, retractions and time series. Now Fibonacci numbers are use in Forex trading currency market (Forex).

The Fibonacci numbers were developed by Leonardo Fibonacci and are simply a series of numbers that when you add the previous numbers ending with the next number in the sequence. Here's an example:

1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55
The Fibonacci Retracement
When a market is moving swiftly in a given direction, sometimes it could pull in as participants take profits. This phenomenon is known as retracement and usually create good opportunities to re-enter the market at support or resistance levels before moving to a trend.

Prices usually are retrace a percentage of the previous move before reversing. These retracements Fibonacci usually occur in three levels - 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%. In fact, the level of 50% has nothing to do with Fibonacci, but traders use this level because of the tendency of prices to change after withdrawing half the previous motion.

The following example illustrate in a very general a level 38% shrinkage in an uptrend:
Fibonacci retracement to 38 percent


When a movement begins to change, the 3 price levels are calculated (and drawn using horizontal lines) using bottom-up movements. These retracement levels are then interpreted as likely levels where counter movements stop. It is interesting to note that the Fibonacci ratios were also known to mathematicians Greeks and Egyptians. The proportion was known as the Golden Mean (Golden Mean) and was applied in music and architecture. A Fibonacci spiral is a logarithmic spiral that tracks natural growth patterns.

After a price that makes a move up (A), it can then move back a part of that movement (B), before moving forward again in the desired direction (C). Retractions are what you, as a trader of the oscillations, when you start you want to monitor for long or short positions.

Fibonacci retracements

Once the price starts to retrace, then you can represent these retracement levels on a chart to test for signs of change. You should not automatically accept the price only because it is a common retracement level! Wait and look for patterns of candles to develop in the area of 38.2%. If you see no change, then the area could drop to 50%. Find a retreat there.

In the next example we find a perfect retraction from point "A" to point "B" (61.8%) and then continues its trend in the direction "C":
Fibonacci retracement to 68 percent

In the next example we find a retraction of a bear market from point "A" to point "B1" (at 50%) and then goes down but comes back to touch up the point B2. Hence the importance of support and resistance levels. We can see that by confirming a double top at points B1 and B2 crossed with a Fibonacci retracement at 50% and candles reverse pattern to the downside, we have a position with very high probability of being profitable to continue down to the point "C".
Continuity of Fibonacci retracement
You do not know when there will be a retraction or know if the price back down to a level of Fibonacci in a safe manner. You just mark those areas on the graph and wait for a signal to another indicator or pattern of candles to assume a long or short position.


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